The Astrology of Fatal Aircraft Incidents – Part I

 

By Frank Piechoski

[This series of articles is adapted from a lecture presented at the NCGR 2010 Conference in Cambridge, Mass.]

Introduction

What can astrology tell us about the world of aviation?  Can one forecast when fatal aircraft incidents are more likely? What factors might one look for?  What data might one use?

There are many things to consider when examining this sort of material.  But after several years of thought, data gathering and testing there are some interesting results to be seen.

First, let’s consider the data.  After attempting to gather data from disparate sources for fatal aircraft incidents, databases of the National Transportation Safety Board was found online in Access format of every reported aircraft incident.  The Access databases are available at the NTSB site at http://www.ntsb.gov/avdata/Access/.

When this project was started, only databases from 1988 to 2008 where available.  To do this first phase of the research, only data from 1988 through 1998  and the year 2008 were used so there could be a second group of testable data for the future.  Also, converting the databases was a laborious process that mostly needed to be done by hand to get the data into a format that could be used in astrology programs.  After the final article in the series, I’ll give credit to those who assisted in data entry.

 Methodology

The NTSB databases were rather unwieldy to work with.  The data format changed over time.  There were many double entries.  Some records in the database were incomplete, corrupted, or inaccurate.  A process of cleaning took place where suspect entries were discard – before any charts were calculated.  Those missing times, or having a time of 0000 were discarded, as where those that didn’t have a specific departure place listed.

Data was then distributed to volunteers for data entry.  The volunteers were unaware of what sort of data they were entering – each set of data used mere an FAA code consisting of numbers and letters as unique identifiers, of which only the author had the original databases for as a concordance.  Data was entered into Solar Fire in batches of 50 to 200, depending on the data entry volunteer’s personal preference.

The Solar Fire data sets were then emailed back to the author for conversion into Jigsaw and AstroDatabank files. There were 3,831 aircraft incidents (the Experimental Group)  from NTSB database that have the attribute “Fatal” tested against a Control Group of 38,310 charts based on the data of the 3,831 research group, with data shuffled randomly.

For the radix charts, the departure date, time, and place of each individual flight was used.

At least 16 factors showed interesting results in the Experimental Group when tested against the Control Group.  We will consider them in Part II of this article.

 

(c) Copyright 2012 by Frank Piechoski, all rights reserved.

By | 2016-12-10T18:03:33+00:00 November 23rd, 2012|Categories: Articles|6 Comments

About the Author:

Frank Piechoski is a professional astrologer who approaches the subject from a practical perspective. He has been practicing astrology professionally for more than 20 years and has been doing charts for more than 35 years. He has lectured regionally, nationally, and internationally at various conferences and workshops. He has also served on the AFAN Steering Committee and the NCGR Board and is President and founding member of the NCGR Philadelphia Chapter. His astrology influences range from Hellenistic to the Modern - with major stops including Lilly and Ebertin along the way. Providing information his clients can actually use is his main aim.

6 Comments

  1. […] Please read Part I here https://proastrologer.com/?p=338 or what is to follow here will not make […]

  2. Jamie Partridge November 24, 2012 at 11:46 pm

    Some questions:

    Is the database for fatal accidents in the USA only?

    In the methodology, are you including the time and place of the actual crash, or just the take off?

  3. Frank November 25, 2012 at 12:07 am

    Yes, USA only. Just the departure chart, not the time of the incident itself.

  4. Susan Manuel December 4, 2012 at 8:00 pm

    Frank, I have NSB plane crash data for the 1950s. Like you, that was the only data set I could access. I can send you the list (if I can dig it out my files) should you like to add it to your data set. Also, I have lots of airplane danger and accidents times as well. Maybe we could combine what we have because I never was able to analyze what data I have. Let me know if we could work together on this.

    • Frank December 11, 2012 at 9:59 pm

      Certainly, Susan!

  5. Frank December 6, 2012 at 4:08 pm

    Hi Susan!
    Thank you for the offer. Until I get a new research program (such as Alphee’s) I really can’t do much with the data because ADb is gone. Once i get some new software, I’d welcome it!

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