Forecasting the Upcoming USA Presidential Election and Inauguration
Copyright © 2012 by Frank Piechoski
When an astrologer makes a forecast about politics there is usually some sort of bias in the prediction. As much as individual practitioners might protest that they remove their personal political opinions from their astrological forecasts, there always seems to be a component of wishful thinking.
When attempting to predict, it behooves astrologers to examine the astrology dispassionately so as to not make biased forecasts. Often, one can see astrologers attempting to fit history to astrology and their personal preferences rather than examining both historical and astrological facts from neutral ground.
This article is an attempt to report the astrology of the upcoming United States presidential election, inauguration and subsequent administration without personalizing it. No names will be mentioned except for historical clarification, nor will political parties be discussed. The hard and fast astrological configurations will be discussed along with the historical realities of the times those configurations took place.
Where does one begin when discussing the attainment or transfer of power in a nation? The legal realities. In the United States of America, the legal reality as far as presidential elections and inaugurations are concerned is the Constitution. What does the Constitution say about presidential elections?
Each State shall appoint, in such Manner as the Legislature thereof may direct, a Number of Electors, equal to the whole Number of Senators and Representatives to which the State may be entitled in the Congress: but no Senator or Representative, or Person holding an Office of Trust or Profit under the United States, shall be appointed an Elector.
The Electors shall meet in their respective States, and vote by Ballot for two persons, of whom one at least shall not lie an Inhabitant of the same State with themselves. And they shall make a List of all the Persons voted for, and of the Number of Votes for each; which List they shall sign and certify, and transmit sealed to the Seat of the Government of the United States, directed to the President of the Senate. The President of the Senate shall, in the Presence
of the Senate and House of Representatives, open all the Certificates, and the Votes shall then be counted. The Person having the greatest Number of Votes shall be the President, if such Number be a Majority of the whole Number of Electors appointed; and if there be more than one who have such Majority, and have an equal Number of Votes, then the House of Representatives shall immediately choose by Ballot one of them for President; and if no Person have a Majority, then from the five highest on the List the said House shall in like Manner choose the President. But in choosing the President, the Votes shall be taken by States, the Representation from each State having one Vote; a quorum for this Purpose shall consist of a Member or Members from two-thirds of the States, and a Majority of all the States shall be necessary to a Choice. In every Case, after the Choice of the President, the Person having the greatest Number of Votes of the Electors shall be the Vice President. But if there should remain two or more who have equal Votes, the Senate shall choose from them by Ballot the Vice-President.
Now that doesn’t quite sound like what we speak of when we think of presidential elections, but that is the reality. On federal Election Day (the first Tuesday after the first Monday in November in even-numbered years – every four years for presidential elections), the public doesn’t vote for president – but for Electors to vote for president. What we have on Election Day is 50 separate state elections for Electors.
Of course, we could look at the charts for each state’s election taking into account the time the polls open for each. But that is complicated by the fact that some states allow early voting and there also is the fact of absentee ballots. There wasn’t even a uniform day for choosing Electors until 1845.
However, Election Day is burned into the public’s consciousness. The media ramps up coverage well in advance of the day, in some states it’s a holiday and that Tuesday in November is touted as the be-all and end-all of the election process.
So, what can we do to look at Election Day astrologically?
One way is to set a chart for noon that day and see what things will change over the course of the day. Another is to see if there is a compelling astrological factor that will provide enlightenment on the processes involved on that day or close to that day. We can also attempt to relate the astrological configurations of that day to previous elections. This article will attempt to do all three.
The chart for noon on Election Day 2012 looks like this:
The Moon will be in Leo all day and no other planets will change signs. However, there is a Mercury station that day, and it turns retrograde. Looking at the chart (set for Philadelphia, the USA birthplace) for the moment Mercury turns retrograde, several things look striking.
The chart, with Gemini rising, is Mercury ruled with Mercury placed in Detriment and Face, in a mutual reception with Jupiter in Gemini by both Domicile and Triplicity. The Moon is partile conjunct the IC and also applies to a partile sextile with Jupiter (and squares the Sun partile also). The Moon’s last aspect will be a trine to Mars.
The most recent presidential election with Mercury stationing and changing direction was in 2000, and one can recall the issues we had with the delayed outcome. There could also be a delay in the results of the upcoming election, but there are kinder aspects on this day than that of the 2000 election. The Moon at the base of the matter (IC) suggests that the people will ultimately make the choice this time around.
In the 2000 election, the Moon went void of course around the time the Florida vote was placed back in the undecided column after previously being called by the networks for one of the candidates – starting the confusion (Mercury applied to square Neptune after turning direct and changing signs) that led to court intervention.
There are of course other astronomically derived charts astrologers may consider for this election. One would be the Libra Ingress chart for 2012 – the Autumnal Equinox that falls prior to the election. Let’s have a look at some themes in this chart.
At the USA’s birthplace (and also at Washington DC) Scorpio rises with a very strong chart-ruler Mars close to the ascendant in the 1st House. A Venus in Leo squares both the ascendant and Mars. The Moon applies sextile Saturn – her last aspect prior to leaving Sagittarius. The last part of the run up to the election will be very contentious, with a high probability of underhanded tactics by either or both sides. It is hoped that the stabilizing influence of the Moon’s sextile to Saturn will allow the public to see through the morass.
There is also the Mercury stationing direct after the election. However, this occurrence is also bracketed by a pair of eclipses – one Total Solar and one Appulse (or Penumbral) Lunar. First, examine the Total Solar Eclipse of 13 November 2012 – set again for Philadelphia.
As in the Mercury stationary retrograde chart on Election Day, Mercury rules a Gemini rising chart from its Detriment, but in Mutual Reception with Jupiter in Gemini. The sextile between Mercury and Neptune has moved to a partile aspect – separated only by 3 minutes of arc. As of 13 November 2012, we may still not have a definitive outcome for the election. In fact, this might be the time of most confusion.
The Mercury station direct chart is what we will consider next.
Mercury has moved back into Scorpio by this time – losing the Mutual Reception by Domicile it shared with Jupiter. The applying opposition of the Moon to Mercury could point to the public’s will being frustrated – or even perhaps the public refusing to stand still while their will is discarded.
The Lunar Eclipse on 28 November 2012 offers yet more for contemplation.